Lisse vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 2
IJS
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
KOZ
0 - 4
LIS
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NOO
0 - 0
LIS
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 0
GVV
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 1
RIJ
37%
24%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 1
JOD
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GVV
1 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
RIJ
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
DET
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 3
EXC
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |