Lisburn Distillery vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
5 - 1
LIS
86%
11%
4%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 1
LIS
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 0
LIS
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 1
PSN
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
TOB
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 1
QUB
17%
20%
64%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 4
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 3
BAN
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 3
BAL
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |