Lisburn Distillery vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIS
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 3
CLI
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 2
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
DON
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 1
POR
21%
21%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |