Lions Gibraltar vs Mons Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
28
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 7
LIO
2%
10%
88%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
0 - 5
LIO
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
3 - 2
MAN
39%
24%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
LIO
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 3
CEU
4%
11%
85%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mons Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EUR
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
COL
0 - 3
MON
8%
14%
79%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
MON
21%
21%
59%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
EUR
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
JOS
3 - 0
MON
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |