Lioli vs Mpharane Celtics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 0
NYE
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 3
LIO
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LIO
3 - 0
JOY
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIK
2 - 2
LIO
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LIO
0 - 0
MAT
46%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |