Lioli vs LMPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
10º
8º
55
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
GAL
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 0
LIO
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LDF
0 - 0
LIO
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
MSW
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
LMPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LMP
0 - 0
LIN
40%
30%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 0
LMP
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LMP
0 - 0
LFC
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LMP
1 - 0
CCX
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 0
LMP
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |