Lioli vs Linare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+117%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MPH
0 - 0
LIO
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 1
LIO
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LDF
0 - 2
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 1
MAT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LIO
7 - 0
LMP
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 0
MPH
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LMP
1 - 0
LIN
42%
28%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 1
KLI
42%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 0
QAL
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |