Lioli vs Joy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIK
2 - 2
LIO
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LIO
0 - 0
MAT
46%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
LIO
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
QOA
1 - 1
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LCS
0 - 1
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Joy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
LCS
2 - 0
JOY
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
JOY
2 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JOY
0 - 0
NYE
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LIK
2 - 0
JOY
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 1
JOY
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |