Lioli vs CCX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
10º
8º
21
13º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIO
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 0
LIO
36%
30%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
MFC
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
LMP
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CCX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CCX
0 - 2
LDF
25%
23%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CCX
1 - 3
MSW
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CCX
0 - 0
LIN
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
CCX
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
4 - 0
CCX
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |