Lioli vs CAPS United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LMP
0 - 2
LIO
41%
29%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 1
LIO
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LIO
2 - 0
LDF
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LCS
1 - 0
LIO
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BUT
1 - 5
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CAPS United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAP
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 0
NGP
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
CAP
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 3
DYN
52%
27%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 3
CAP
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |