Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 5-4
Linfield vs NSÍ Runavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
LIN
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 1
CRU
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CLI
2 - 2
LIN
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 2
GLE
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
NSÍ Runavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
KLA
3 - 3
NSI
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
NSI
0 - 0
TVO
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HBT
1 - 1
NSI
53%
22%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
HBT
0 - 1
NSI
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NSI
2 - 4
VIK
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |