Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIN
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 0
DRF
86%
10%
3%
|
72 | 15 | 57 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
NEW
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 2
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
DON
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |