Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 2
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
HBT
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 2
FIN
81%
14%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
HBT
2 - 2
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
13%
18%
70%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 3
INS
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
COL
4 - 0
INS
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
INS
0 - 1
ARD
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |