Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
PSN
1 - 1
LIN
13%
17%
71%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
WAT
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 4
GLE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
NEW
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DER
2 - 4
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
INS
2 - 1
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
INS
30%
25%
44%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |