Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 1
LIN
16%
23%
62%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
18%
24%
57%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 1
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
INS
33%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
CRU
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |