Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 0
PSN
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 2
LIN
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
IFC
3 - 0
INS
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |