Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
3 - 2
LIM
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIN
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
4 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LIN
2 - 0
OMA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COL
4 - 2
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 2
INS
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |