Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
1º
1º
1º
57
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
85 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
LIN
3 - 1
CRU
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIN
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
COL
3 - 2
DUN
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 1
LAR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 2
DUN
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIN
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |