Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 1
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
8 - 1
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 0
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
CLI
1 - 2
LIN
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
QUB
2 - 1
LIN
11%
17%
73%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
4 - 2
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 0
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |