Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 4
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLE
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
WAR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
POR
23%
25%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |