Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
37
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
LAR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIN
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
CLI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |