Champions League . 1/16
Global 2-6
Linfield vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
61.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
LIN
92%
6%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
LIN
2 - 1
TIR
41%
23%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
TIR
1 - 0
LIN
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1981 |
LIN
0 - 5
KSK
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
KSK
3 - 0
LIN
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
SLB
2 - 0
RDA
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
LIN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
EST
1 - 4
SLB
14%
26%
59%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 0
RIO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |