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Championship. Matchday 14

Lincoln City vs Port Vale analysis

Lincoln City Port Vale
57 ELO 57
-28% Tilt -36%
4509º General ELO ranking 2286º
94º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
44.4%
Lincoln City
33.7%
Draw
21.9%
Port Vale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
Lincoln City
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
+2
12.4%
1-0
19.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.7%
33.7%
Draw
0-0
19.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.1%
0
33.7%
21.9%
Win probability
Port Vale
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Lincoln City
Their league position
Port Vale
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
21
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
53
53
100%
Sheffield United
51
51
100%
Darwen FC
44
44
100%
Grimsby Town
34
34
100%
Man. City
30
30
100%
Burton Swifts
29
29
50%
Northwich Victoria
29
29
50%
Bootle FC
27
27
100%
Lincoln City
24
24
100%
Crewe Alexandra
10º
21
21
10º
50%
Port Vale
11º
21
21
11º
50%
Walsall
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lincoln City
Port Vale
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Port Vale
POR
Lincoln City
LIN
Darwen FC
DAR
Bootle FC
THE
Birmingham City
BIR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lincoln City
Lincoln City
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 1892
WAL
Walsall
2 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
47%
27%
26%
1245 1204 -41 -6
01 Oct. 1892
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
47%
27%
26%
1239 1263 -24 +6
24 Sep. 1892
BIR
Birmingham City
4 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
47%
27%
26%
1250 1255 5 -10
03 Sep. 1892
SHE
Sheffield United
4 - 2
Lincoln City
LIN
46%
27%
27%
1258 1246 -12 -9
01 Jan. 1890
THE
Preston North End
4 - 0
Lincoln City
LIN
72%
17%
11%
1250 2329 1079 -7

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO POR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 1892
POR
Port Vale
1 - 2
Man. City
MAC
45%
27%
28%
1238 1291 -53 -6
08 Oct. 1892
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Burton Swifts
BUR
47%
27%
26%
1232 1278 -46 +6
01 Oct. 1892
POR
Port Vale
2 - 4
Darwen FC
DAR
46%
27%
27%
1242 1247 -5 -10
24 Sep. 1892
POR
Port Vale
4 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
27%
26%
1231 1270 -39 +11
17 Sep. 1892
THE
Bootle FC
1 - 1
Port Vale
POR
47%
27%
26%
1231 1246 15 0