Lincoln City vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
ROC
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
IPS
1 - 1
LIN
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
CRE
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
FLE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PLY
4 - 3
LIN
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
GIL
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
FLE
1 - 0
GIL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GIL
3 - 1
IPS
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
GIL
3 - 2
MKD
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
OPA
1 - 1
GIL
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |