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Championship. Matchday 2

Lincoln City vs Darwen FC analysis

Lincoln City Darwen FC
57 ELO 58
42% Tilt -19%
4509º General ELO ranking 16026º
94º Country ELO ranking 800º
ELO win probability
65.8%
Lincoln City
20.2%
Draw
14%
Darwen FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
Lincoln City
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
Darwen FC
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lincoln City
+36%
+117%
Darwen FC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
53
53
100%
Sheffield United
51
51
100%
Darwen FC
44
44
100%
Grimsby Town
34
34
100%
Man. City
30
30
100%
Burton Swifts
29
29
50%
Northwich Victoria
29
29
50%
Bootle FC
27
27
100%
Lincoln City
24
24
100%
Crewe Alexandra
10º
21
21
10º
50%
Port Vale
11º
21
21
11º
50%
Walsall
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lincoln City
Darwen FC
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Lincoln City
LIN
Darwen FC
DAR
Sheffield United
SHE
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Port Vale
POR
Bootle FC
THE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lincoln City
Lincoln City
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 1892
LIN
Lincoln City
3 - 4
Port Vale
POR
47%
27%
26%
1239 1231 8 -7
08 Oct. 1892
WAL
Walsall
2 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
47%
27%
26%
1245 1204 -41 -6
01 Oct. 1892
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
47%
27%
26%
1239 1263 -24 +6
24 Sep. 1892
BIR
Birmingham City
4 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
47%
27%
26%
1250 1255 5 -10
03 Sep. 1892
SHE
Sheffield United
4 - 2
Lincoln City
LIN
46%
27%
27%
1258 1246 -12 -9

Matches

Darwen FC
Darwen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO DAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 1892
DAR
Darwen FC
4 - 1
Port Vale
POR
47%
27%
26%
1262 1238 24 +10
29 Oct. 1892
BIR
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Darwen FC
DAR
47%
27%
26%
1267 1278 11 -6
22 Oct. 1892
DAR
Darwen FC
3 - 0
Bootle FC
THE
49%
26%
25%
1257 1223 34 +10
15 Oct. 1892
SHE
Sheffield United
2 - 0
Darwen FC
DAR
46%
27%
27%
1266 1257 -9 -9
08 Oct. 1892
DAR
Darwen FC
3 - 1
Man. City
MAC
47%
27%
26%
1257 1300 -43 +9