Lincoln City vs Darwen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+117%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
50% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
LIN
DAR
SHE
CRE
POR
THE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO LIN | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1892 |
LIN
3 - 4
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
1239 | 1231 | 8 | -7 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
WAL
2 - 1
LIN
47%
27%
26%
|
1245 | 1204 | -41 | -6 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
LIN
1 - 0
SHE
47%
27%
26%
|
1239 | 1263 | -24 | +6 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
BIR
4 - 1
LIN
47%
27%
26%
|
1250 | 1255 | 5 | -10 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
SHE
4 - 2
LIN
46%
27%
27%
|
1258 | 1246 | -12 | -9 |
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO DAR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
DAR
4 - 1
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
1262 | 1238 | 24 | +10 |
| 29 Oct. 1892 |
BIR
3 - 2
DAR
47%
27%
26%
|
1267 | 1278 | 11 | -6 |
| 22 Oct. 1892 |
DAR
3 - 0
THE
49%
26%
25%
|
1257 | 1223 | 34 | +10 |
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
SHE
2 - 0
DAR
46%
27%
27%
|
1266 | 1257 | -9 | -9 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
DAR
3 - 1
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
1257 | 1300 | -43 | +9 |