Lincoln City vs Darwen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1892 |
LIN
3 - 4
POR
37%
25%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
WAL
2 - 1
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
LIN
1 - 0
SHE
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
BIR
4 - 1
LIN
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
SHE
4 - 2
LIN
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
DAR
4 - 1
POR
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1892 |
BIR
3 - 2
DAR
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1892 |
DAR
3 - 0
BOO
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
SHE
2 - 0
DAR
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
DAR
3 - 1
MAC
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |