Lincoln City vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 1
LIN
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
LIN
17%
25%
59%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 1
CHE
58%
20%
21%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 2
SWI
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 2
EXE
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
COL
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
STA
1 - 0
CRE
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
YEO
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NOT
4 - 1
CRE
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |