Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 1
FLE
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
STF
2 - 2
LIN
27%
25%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 2
SPA
88%
9%
2%
|
65 | 18 | 47 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
STO
2 - 0
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 3
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 0
BAR
19%
23%
59%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 3
MKD
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 0
BOL
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
BBU
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |