Limonest vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limonest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LIM
0 - 0
RVA
32%
23%
46%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LIM
1 - 1
CLE
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MOU
0 - 2
LIM
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LIM
2 - 1
VAU
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
LIM
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LPV
4 - 2
AUR
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 2
AIN
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THO
3 - 2
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
LIM
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |