Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
LIL
7%
19%
74%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 6
LIL
1%
12%
87%
|
89 | 23 | 66 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
LIL
4 - 4
NIC
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
SOC
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
GIR
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
PSG
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DIJ
1 - 2
ASS
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |