Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
66.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
LYO
2 - 2
LIL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GON
0 - 2
LIL
4%
14%
82%
|
82 | 21 | 61 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
DIJ
1 - 0
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 0
AMI
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RAO
2 - 3
LIL
5%
15%
81%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
REI
0 - 3
PSG
12%
19%
69%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 1
PSG
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 4
PSG
16%
19%
66%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PSG
3 - 3
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
PSG
6 - 1
ASS
79%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |