Lille vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
LIL
24%
25%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 4
NIC
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MET
3 - 3
LIL
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
16%
20%
65%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
LIL
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MPL
3 - 1
LOR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
REI
3 - 3
MPL
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MPL
2 - 3
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MET
1 - 0
MPL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 2
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |