Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
Lille vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LIL
1 - 0
MPL
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
BVB
1 - 1
LIL
66%
20%
15%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PSG
4 - 1
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LIL
2 - 1
MON
46%
24%
31%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
REN
0 - 2
LIL
37%
27%
36%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BVB
0 - 1
AUG
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
BVB
1 - 1
LIL
66%
20%
15%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
STP
0 - 2
BVB
11%
18%
72%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BVB
6 - 0
FCU
73%
17%
10%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
BVB
0 - 0
SCP
78%
14%
8%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |