Lillestrom II vs Vestfossen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
JEV
5 - 3
LIL
42%
23%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 2
SIF
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 4
POR
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
KFU
2 - 0
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
4 - 3
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vestfossen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
VIF
1 - 6
UIK
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ILS
2 - 0
VIF
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -3 |