Lille II vs Tourcoing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 2
LIL
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 0
FEI
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 3
LIL
31%
26%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SED
3 - 1
LIL
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tourcoing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
SML
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AIL
0 - 2
TOU
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 3
AUL
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
GRA
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 0
TOU
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |