Ligny vs Es de la Moligneé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CON
0 - 2
LIG
58%
20%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
LIG
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
AND
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
WEP
1 - 0
LIG
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LIG
3 - 2
CON
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Es de la Moligneé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MOL
3 - 2
GRA
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PES
2 - 0
MOL
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOL
1 - 3
LOY
74%
15%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
MOL
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 2
MOL
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |