Ligny vs Es de la Moligneé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 3
LIG
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 5
NIS
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARQ
0 - 0
LIG
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MEU
0 - 2
LIG
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
3 - 1
LOY
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Es de la Moligneé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOL
3 - 2
MEU
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LOY
1 - 3
MOL
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MOL
2 - 0
ANH
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 3
MOL
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MOL
5 - 2
AND
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |