Light SS vs Bugamba analysis


12	ELO	17
0.3%	Tilt	-1.2%
43558º	General ELO ranking	45079º
93º	Country ELO ranking	135º
ELO win probability

16.3%

Light SS

18.4%

Draw

65.3%

Bugamba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

16.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%

18.4%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

8.1%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

18.4%

65.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%