Liga de Quito vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LDU
1 - 1
LIG
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAC
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ORE
1 - 2
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
LIG
1 - 0
DEL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 0
LIG
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 3
UCE
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
IVT
3 - 0
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 1
BSC
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
LDU
3 - 1
RIV
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |