Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 2-0
Liga de Quito vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 4
LIG
37%
30%
33%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
ZAM
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 2
LIG
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 1
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 3
NAC
55%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 4
GUA
28%
25%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |