Liga de Quito vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 2
LIG
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
LIG
1 - 0
CUE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
OLM
2 - 0
LIG
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LIG
1 - 0
QUI
71%
17%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
LIG
2 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
1 - 4
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
FLU
6 - 1
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOA
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
FLU
5 - 1
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |