Copa Libertadores Grupo G. Jor. 3

Liga de Quito vs Flamengo analysis

Liga de Quito Flamengo
80 ELO 88
7.1% Tilt -8.3%
380º General ELO ranking 45º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.9%
Liga de Quito
20.8%
Draw
63.4%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
Liga de Quito
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.3%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liga de Quito
+21%
+8%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Liga de Quito
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liga de Quito
Liga de Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
LIG
Liga de Quito
2 - 1
Macará
MAC
56%
24%
20%
80 76 4 0
28 Apr. 2021
LIG
Liga de Quito
3 - 1
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
42%
26%
33%
79 82 3 +1
22 Apr. 2021
ULC
Unión La Calera
2 - 2
Liga de Quito
LIG
39%
27%
33%
79 75 4 0
18 Apr. 2021
RIV
Guayaquil City
2 - 2
Liga de Quito
LIG
26%
27%
48%
80 66 14 -1
14 Apr. 2021
LIG
Liga de Quito
1 - 0
Manta
MAN
68%
19%
12%
80 67 13 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
VOL
Volta Redonda
0 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
6%
15%
80%
88 62 26 0
28 Apr. 2021
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 1
Unión La Calera
ULC
80%
13%
7%
88 75 13 0
25 Apr. 2021
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Volta Redonda
VOL
86%
10%
4%
88 62 26 0
21 Apr. 2021
VEL
Vélez Sarsfield
2 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
18%
23%
59%
88 82 6 0
18 Apr. 2021
POR
Portuguesa RJ
2 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
5%
15%
80%
88 53 35 0
X