Liga de Quito vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
VEL
3 - 1
LIG
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 1
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 3
FLA
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LIG
3 - 1
VEL
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 1
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
AUC
0 - 2
TEC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MET
3 - 2
AUC
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 1
AUC
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 0
AUC
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |