FK Jonava vs FC Hegelmann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
16º
12º
10
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 40 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 33 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 32 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 28 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 28 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 16 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 15 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 14 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 14 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 13 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 11 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 2
BAB
10%
18%
72%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FKN
0 - 1
LIE
12%
14%
74%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
LIE
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 0
LIE
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 1
BFA
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 0
FHL
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 2
BFA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
FKE
1 - 2
FHL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 1
ATM
26%
24%
51%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 1
FHL
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |