Liestal vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 1
LIE
24%
19%
57%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 2
LER
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ALL
3 - 2
LIE
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LIE
4 - 2
TAV
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIE
0 - 0
MUT
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 1
MUT
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
TAV
1 - 1
MOU
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
COR
2 - 2
MOU
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MOU
4 - 0
SUB
90%
8%
2%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FCK
0 - 7
MOU
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |