Liestal vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
5 - 1
FCC
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
1 - 4
MUT
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
LIE
45%
20%
35%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LIE
0 - 1
FCA
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 3
LIE
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MUT
4 - 0
LER
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LER
1 - 1
FCA
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BUB
2 - 1
LER
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LER
0 - 2
BIN
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |