Liestal vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUT
0 - 4
LIE
57%
21%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 1
ALL
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIE
0 - 0
DOR
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
LIE
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LIE
0 - 0
LAN
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LER
3 - 0
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LER
1 - 2
LAN
36%
24%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
LER
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
MOU
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TAV
2 - 0
LER
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |