Liestal vs Binningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
5º
37
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MUT
3 - 2
LIE
58%
19%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ZOF
0 - 4
LIE
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 0
BUB
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RSZ
4 - 0
LIE
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 2
MUT
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BIN
0 - 4
MUT
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BUB
2 - 2
BIN
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ZOF
0 - 0
BIN
50%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BIN
0 - 0
RSZ
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 2
BIN
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |