Liestal vs Allschwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 0
LIE
63%
19%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 0
POR
57%
21%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 1
LIE
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 0
ALL
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 3
LIE
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 1
FCC
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
ALL
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 3
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
ALL
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 3
ALL
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |