Lierse SK vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 0
ANT
49%
25%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 2
KSV
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LOM
0 - 3
LIE
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 2
GEN
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
CER
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
ANT
4 - 0
UNI
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
TUB
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KSV
2 - 1
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
LOM
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |