Liefering vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
15º
9º
43
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCL
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 3
VOR
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 2
FCL
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 1
PIN
87%
10%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
BOH
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VIE
1 - 1
SKN
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FAC
0 - 1
VIE
61%
24%
16%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
VIE
2 - 0
FCB
12%
19%
70%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 2
VIE
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
VIE
3 - 2
DON
72%
17%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |